Monday, November 02, 2009

Christie vs. Corzine: More Polling Madness !

For what it is worth:

Monmouth University/Gannett has Corzine up by 2 with Daggett at 8 percent; SurveyUSA puts Christie up by 3 with Daggett at 10 percent.

But are the remining undecideds going to break for Christie? Campaign Spot offers us a clue:

The percentage who say they're "undecided" in polls showing Corzine up: 7, 8, 8, 6, 7, 4.
Now here's the percentage who say they're undecided in polls showing Christie up: 2, 3, 6, 5, 3, 3.
The Corzine poll undecided averages 6.6 (you can take it out to another six, if you're demonically-inclined) while the Christie poll undecided averages only 3.6.

Looks like the mroe undecideds show up in a poll, the more the poll leans Corzine. Or, in other words, undecideds are either breaking towards Christie, or may not even exist at all...

More weird stuff: Liberal polling site apparently is predicting Christie +2 when all is said and done tomorrow. May not be enough to get us past the "margin of fraud", though...

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