Tuesday, July 25, 2006

War over Diplomacy?

Captain's Quarters discusses the Israeli military strategy, and how it is starting to all come together for the IDF:

Hezbollah has started to run low on munitions and morale, according to the IDF. Without secure lines of communication to Syria, the terrorists have been unable to resupply, and this has led jihadis in northern Lebanon to avoid joining the fight against Israel...

...Hezbollah got surprised by Israel's military response and by the lack of support they received in the Arab world as a result. IDF operations have forced Hezbollah to fire many more rockets into Israel, trying desperately to hold Israeli cities hostage in order to put an end to the IDF invasion of southern Lebanon and the bombing of the infrastructure. They have fired thousands of missiles and rockets into Israel in less than two weeks, a number that might have taken them five years to reach in the normal asymmetrical mode.

And this shows why Israel has reacted with overwhelming force, and why cries about Lebanon's infrastructure make no sense. ..

It has been clear from the start of the IDF operation that Israel targeted these assets because they consider themselves at war, not as some police force on steroids, and that the first assets one attacks in war are command, control, and communications of the enemy.
The roads and bridges, as well as the airports, would have allowed Syria to resupply Hezbollah.


Now, it appears that Syria cannot effectively rearm their proxy in southern Lebanon. I srael has even attacked convoys coming out of Syria attempting to do just that, destroying the munitions and sending a message to Syria of air supremacy, a lesson Syria has learned over and over again against the Israelis. Starved of missiles and rockets, the Hezbollah terrorists will lose their one weapon of deterrence against Israel and start to collapse.

According to the IDF, that process has already begun...

So the destruction of Lebanese infrastructure (and must I remind you that Hezbollah has two dozen elected representatives in Lebanon's Parliment?) has actually increased the chances that this war might end quicker and with less casualties than it might have otherwise.

Based on this DEBKA report of Condoleezza Rice's visit to Beirut, it seems as if Israel will have all the time they need to finish off Hezbollah; see here: Rice learns in Beirut that neither the Lebanese government nor its parliamentary majority wants a ceasefire

Seems like Hezbollah is reading too much of its own propoganda, not unlike another local despot who sits in a jail cell waiting to be judged...

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