Monday, November 02, 2009

Christie's Lead Now "Outside the Margin of Fraud” !

(with apologies to Glenn Reynolds for the lede...)

Final pre-election poll from Public Policy Polling shows us that (as a certain blogger predicted), Christie is starting to pull away. PPP gives us Christie 47%, Corzine 41%, and Daggett (aka Jon-boy's Bitch) 11%.

Some analysis over at The Final Countdown:

CHRISTIE HAS A 43% FAV 42% UNFAV RATING; CORZINE 34% FAV 57% UNFAV; DAGGET 24% FAV 35% UNFAV- A DROP IN POSITIVES SIMILAR TO OTHER RECENT POLLS.

CHRISTIE LEADS INDS 52% TO 29% FOR CORZINE WHILE DAGGET HAS DECLINED TO 16%.

THERE IS A CONSIDERABLE ENTHUSIASM GAP: AMONG THE 38% OF LIKELY VOTERS WHO ARE "EXCITED" ABOUT THEIR CHOICE CHRISTIE LEADS 60% TO 34% FOR CORZINE AND 11% FOR DAGGET. AMONG THE 60% OF LIKELY VOTERS ONLY "SOMEWHAT" OR "NOT VERY EXCITED" THE RACE IS A VIRTUAL DEAD HEAT.

SINCE LAST WEEK 13% OF REPS AND ONLY 5% OF DEMS ARE MORE "EXCITED"....

Sorry about the caps, it's a cut-and-past job over here today...

Quinnipiac shows Christie ahead as well, although by not as large a margin.

The Quinnipiac University poll released Monday showed Christie with a 2-point lead over Corzine. Among likely voters, 42 percent backed Christie and 40 percent backed Corzine.
Christie's lead is within the margin of error, but marks a gain from a Quinnipiac survey released last week, in which Corzine enjoyed a 5-point lead.


The huge swing Quinnipiac is showing is more likely the results of skewed samples rather than a 5-point Christie swing in 5 days....

Nevertheless, if you take an average, you're getting Christie by 4+. A win of less than 3 by Christie will become a Corzine victory, as the stockpiling of fraudulent votes has already begun in earnest, as Obama has ordered in ACORN to try to save the governor's pathetic, crooked ass....

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